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🌅 After AGI

Economy

Productivity explosion. UBI gets real. Everything changes.

$15T
Annual GDP boost

📊 The Numbers (Global)

$15T
Global GDP boost
40%
Jobs automatable

AGI means intelligence becomes abundant. This is bigger than the industrial revolution.

🔮 Two Scenarios

🌸 Optimistic: Superabundance

AI generates unprecedented wealth. Everyone gets richer. Goods cost 10x less. Work becomes optional. UBI covers basics, most earn more on top.

⚠️ Pessimistic: Inequality Spike

AI owners capture gains. Middle class hollows out. UBI covers survival but not mobility. Wealth concentrates. Social unrest.

Reality falls between. Policy choices matter enormously.

💸 Universal Basic Income: Theory → Reality

🇫🇮 Finland 🇨🇦 Canada 🇺🇸 US cities 🇰🇪 Kenya 🇮🇳 India

How It Could Work

AI productivity pays. Tax on automation. $1K/mo per adult covers basics.

Who Pays?

AI companies. Robot taxes. Data dividends. Carbon tax. Sovereign wealth funds.

NZ Trials

No UBI yet. But Super (NZ Super) is a form of universal income for 65+.

The Debate

Does UBI reduce work incentive? Evidence says no — people start businesses, study, create.

📉 Jobs Most Exposed

Administrative, clerical, data entry — AI automation >80%

Customer service, call centres — AI handles most tier-1 queries

Retail, checkout — Self-service and cashierless stores

Basic coding, content writing — AI-generated code and copy

📈 Jobs Least Exposed

Healthcare, bedside care — Physical human presence required

Trades (electrician, plumber) — Unstructured environments

Creative direction, leadership — Human judgment, vision

Nursing, social work — Empathy, human connection

📰 In-Depth Coverage

🇳🇿 New Zealand Context

NZ's economy is 65% services. AI automation could displace 300,000+ jobs by 2035 — but also create new opportunities. The government is exploring AI policy frameworks and MBIE has established an AI Strategy Taskforce.

Key question: Will NZ tax AI productivity gains to fund UBI, or let wealth concentrate?

Current policy: No UBI. Super (NZ Super) is universal for 65+. ACC covers accidents. That's it.

🎯 What To Do

For Individuals

Build transferable skills. Focus on human-centered capabilities. Prepare financially.

For Policy

Support UBI pilots. Tax automation revenue. Invest in transition programmes.

Updated Mar 2026 • The economy section will be updated as AGI develops.

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